The export trend of China’s woven bag in 2025 will be affected by multiple factors, and may show a moderate growth trend overall, but attention should be paid to structural adjustments and potential challenges. The following is a specific analysis:

1. Market demand drivers
Global economic recovery and infrastructure demand:
If the global economy continues to recover (especially in developing countries), infrastructure construction and increased agricultural activities will drive the demand for woven bags. As the world’s largest woven bag producer (accounting for about 60% of global production capacity), China’s export volume may benefit from the growth of orders from countries along the “Belt and Road” (such as Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa).

Deepening of regional trade agreements:
RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) reduces tariff barriers and may promote China’s woven bag export share in markets such as ASEAN, Japan and South Korea.

2. Cost and supply chain competitiveness
Raw material price fluctuations:
The main raw material for woven bags is polypropylene (linked to crude oil prices). If international oil prices stabilize or fall in 2025, China’s production cost advantage will be further highlighted with its mature chemical industry chain.

Capacity and technology upgrade:
Domestic enterprises reduce labor costs through automated production, while developing high value-added products (such as moisture-proof and anti-aging woven bags), which can increase export unit prices and profit margins.
3. Policy and environmental challenges
Tightening of domestic environmental policies:
Under China’s “dual carbon” goal, the production capacity of high-energy consumption and low-end woven bags may be limited, forcing the industry to transform to degradable materials (such as PLA woven bags). If enterprises successfully upgrade, environmentally friendly products will open up high-end markets such as Europe and the United States.

International green barriers:
Markets such as the European Union may raise environmental standards for plastic products, and traditional woven bags may face export restrictions, so it is necessary to plan recyclable and degradable alternatives in advance.

4. Competition and threat of substitutes
Shock of substitutes:
Environmentally friendly materials such as degradable packaging bags and paper bags may squeeze the traditional woven bag market in some areas (such as food packaging), but in the short term, woven bags still have advantages in cost performance and durability.

Intensified international competition:
Countries such as India and Vietnam have seized the low-end market with lower labor costs, and China needs to maintain its mid-to-high-end market share through technological upgrades.
5. Risks and uncertainties
Trade frictions:
If Europe and the United States impose tariffs on Chinese plastic products or initiate anti-dumping investigations, exports may be suppressed in the short term.

Exchange rate fluctuations:
Changes in the RMB exchange rate will directly affect the profits of export companies, and financial instruments are needed to hedge risks.

Trend forecast for 2025
Export volume: The annual growth rate is expected to be about 3%-5%, mainly from the incremental demand in emerging markets.

Export structure: The proportion of environmentally friendly and functional woven bags has increased, and the growth rate of traditional low-end products has slowed down.

Regional distribution: Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America are the main growth markets, and the European and American markets rely on environmental protection transformation.